KANEOHE, Hawaii — The China-Philippines spat over Scarborough Shoal seems like the proverbial tempest in a teacup. But its roots are deep and even primal, comprising rising nationalism and the setting of political and legal precedents while indirectly involving U.S.-China rivalry.
The confrontation has already become a test of solidarity for the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, the fiber of the U.S.-Philippine alliance, and U.S. political power in the region. Although Scarborough Shoal is not part of the disputed Spratlys, the outcome of this confrontation may be a harbinger for maritime diplomatic and legal battles yet to come.
Raw nationalism and aggressive leadership are driving the issue forward in both countries. China's blogosphere and global Philippine anti-China demonstrations are but the smoke from smoldering nationalist fires. Moreover, the revolution in communications technology is facilitating participation, mobilization and avenues for expression by the tech-savvy public, further fanning the flames.
Access to resources plays a role. Despite years of nay-saying by so-called experts and analysts with agendas — there does appear to be considerable gas resources within the disputed areas of the South China Sea, particularly on Reed Bank claimed by both China and the Philippines.
Social Plugin